Most Dominant Game and Biggest Nail Biter during Weekend #2 of KCL
Author: Grant Jones
Last week, I developed an artificially intelligent algorithm based off the past two years of KCL data to output a live in-game forecast of the current game after each inning based on runs, hits, and errors. This week, I’ve updated the algorithm to output a live in-game forecast after each batter or advanced base dependent on the inning, runs, hits, errors, outs, and if there are runners on base and which base the runners are on. After 8 KCL games during the second weekend, the Most Dominant Game of the Weekend and the Biggest Nail Biter of the Weekend were selected based off the algorithm.
Most Dominant Game of the Weekend
The Merchants earned the Most Dominant Game of the Weekend after their 12-2 win over the Bluecaps on Saturday June 3rd. After a back and forth start, Jake Kutella’s two-run homerun in the third inning increased the Merchant’s win probability by 13.2% to 65.7%. The Merchants would continue to pile on the runs to run rule the Bluecaps in six innings.
Biggest Nail Biter of the Weekend
The Bluecaps and Bobcats earned the Biggest Nail Biter of the Weekend with their matchup on Sunday June 4th. The Bluecaps were down one in the third with a 35.6% chance of winning. Caleb Royer singled to left field to tie the game, increasing the win probability by 11.7% to 47.3%. The Bluecaps opened up the scoring in the fifth inning, courtesy of Caleb Royer’s double to center field to take a 3-1 lead. This jumped the Bluecaps win probability to 71.6%, and the Bluecaps didn’t look back, securing the 5-2 win over the Bobcats.