Author: Grant Jones
This season I’ve developed an artificially intelligent algorithm based off the past two years of KCL data to output a live in-game forecast of the current game after each batter or advanced base dependent on the inning, runs, hits, errors, outs, and if there are runners on base and which base the runners are on. This week, I’ve updated the algorithm to account for how well the team has performed in the season thus far. After 8 KCL games this weekend, the Most Dominant Game of the Weekend, the Biggest Nail Biter of the Weekend, and the Biggest Comeback of the Weekend were selected based off the algorithm.
Most Dominant Game of the Weekend
The Bobcats sunk the Merchants 15-5 in the Most Dominant Game of the Weekend on Wednesday June 7th. Pat Mulcahey’s single in the bottom of the 2nd inning, brought in two runs to jumpstart the Bobcats 5-run inning. This single increased the Bobcats’ probability of winning from 60.1% to 82.6%. The Bobcats iced the game after scoring three more runs in the fourth inning, bringing their win probability to 99.9% where it stayed until the end of the game.
Biggest Nail Biter of the Weekend
The Ground Sloths and Bobcats fought ruthlessly to be king of the jungle on Thursday June 8th, earning the the Biggest Nail Biter of the Weekend. The Bobcats were up 3-0 after the first inning, giving them an 84.5% chance to win the game. The Ground Sloths answered with six runs of their own in the top of the second, three runs coming off a Judah Morris homerun. This put the Ground Sloths at a 68.9% chance to win after the top of the second. The Bobcats and Ground Sloths continued to fight back and forth, leading to a tie game at the end of seven innings. The outcome of the game was determined by a homerun derby, in which the Ground Sloths won.
The Biggest Comeback of the Weekend
The Ground Sloths earned the season’s first Biggest Comeback of the Weekend, defeating the Bluecaps 11-7 on Wednesday June 7th. After the top of the third, the Bluecaps had the Ground Sloths against the ropes up 7-0 with an 87.8% chance to win the game. The Ground Sloths answered with a 7-run 3rd inning, giving the Ground Sloths a 54.2% chance to win after three innings. Judah Morris hit a homerun in the bottom of the fourth to give the Ground Sloths their first lead of the game, which jumped their probability to win the game by 13%. The Ground Sloths continued to dominate and won the game 11-7.