Author: Grant Jones
This season I’ve developed an artificially intelligent algorithm based off the past two years of KCL data to output a live in-game forecast of the current game after each batter or advanced base dependent on the inning, runs, hits, errors, outs, and if there are runners on base and which base the runners are on. The algorithm also accounts for how well the team has performed in the season thus far and has a method to predict the winner of the homerun derby in the event of a tie after seven innings. The algorithm also accounts for the starting pitchers of each team. After 6 KCL games this weekend, the Most Dominant Game of the Weekend, the Biggest Nail Biter of the Weekend, and the Biggest Comeback of the Weekend were selected based off the algorithm.
Most Dominant Game of the Weekend
The Bobcats earned the Most Dominant Game of the Weekend, defeating the Merchants 10-1 on Sunday July 2nd. The Bobcats put up eight runs in the first inning. This explosive inning gave them a 99.9% chance to win, which barely dropped the rest of the game.
Biggest Nail Biter of the Weekend
The Biggest Nail Biter of the Weekend was Ground Sloths against Bluecaps on July 2nd. After a scoreless first inning, the Bluecaps scored in the bottom of the 2nd, courtesy of Hunter Brewer’s sacrifice fly. This gave the Bluecaps a 43.4% chance to win. The Ground Sloths bounced back and scored two runs of their own, giving them a 78.9% chance to win. The game went back and forth until it was forced to a tiebreaker homerun derby, where the Bluecaps were given a 62.5% chance to win. The Bluecaps were able to complete the upset against the Ground Sloths.
The Biggest Comeback of the Weekend
The Bobcats earned the Biggest Comeback of the Weekend against the Bluecaps on July 1st. The Bluecaps were up 9-4 headed into the sixth inning with a 99.9% chance to win the game. Riley McAllister walked to bring in a run, and then Dan Mosele doubled to score three more runs. This jumped the Bobcats’ win probability to 9.7%. In the top of the seventh, the Bobcats tied the game with another RBI walk to give them a 37.8% chance to win. After Pat Mulcahey’s two-RBI single, the Bobcats win probability increased to 67.3%. The Bobcats were able to secure the win and complete the comeback.