Most Dominant Game, Biggest Nail Biter, and the Biggest Comeback during Weekend #8 of KCL

Author: Grant Jones

This season I’ve developed an artificially intelligent algorithm based off the past two years of KCL data to output a live in-game forecast of the current game after each batter or advanced base dependent on the inning, runs, hits, errors, outs, and if there are runners on base and which base the runners are on. The algorithm also accounts for how well the team has performed in the season thus far and has a method to predict the winner of the homerun derby in the event of a tie after seven innings. The algorithm also accounts for the starting pitchers of each team. After 7 KCL games this weekend, the Most Dominant Game of the Weekend, the Biggest Nail Biter of the Weekend, and the Biggest Comeback of the Weekend were selected based off the algorithm.

Most Dominant Game of the Weekend

The Bobcats earned the Most Dominant Game of the Weekend, defeating the Merchants 8-0. The Bobcats scored six runs after two innings, giving the Bobcats a 96% chance to win. The Bobcats would score one more run in the fourth to give them a 99.9% chance to win. The Bobcats would eventually win 8-0.

Biggest Nail Biter of the Weekend

The Biggest Nail Biter of the Weekend was the championship game between the Bluecaps and the Bobcats. In the bottom of the fourth, the Bluecaps were up two runs with a 73.6% chance to win. With runners on first and second, Tugg Hollandsworth hit a homerun for the Bobcats to take the lead. This gave the Bobcats a 64% chance to win the game. With the same score in the seventh and the bases loaded, Caleb Royer walked to bring in a run and tie the game. This brought the Bluecaps’ win probability to 62.4%. The Bluecaps scored five more runs in the seventh to bring their win probability up to 97.3%. The Bluecaps would close out the game to win 10-7.

The Biggest Comeback of the Weekend

The Bobcats earned the Biggest Comeback of the Weekend against the Ground Sloths. The Ground Sloths were up 6-1 after the top of the third, with a 95.5% chance to win the game. Riley McAllister hits a single to bring in two runs to cut the lead to three and the Ground Sloths’ win probability to 67.9%. Hayden Stork tied the game with a three-run homerun, giving the Bobcats a 48.9% chance to win the game. The Bobcats scored three more runs in the third to put the Bobcats at a 78.3% chance to win the game. The Bobcats closed out the game and won 11-7.